Melbourne Cup Betting Trends
Along with looking at the Melbourne Cup form you can also check the trends of the runners and winners in previous years to give you a guide as to what kind of horse profile wins the race the most often. We've split these trends into five areas to help you look at the common Melbourne Cup betting trends.
Melbourne Cup Winners Weight
The Melbourne Cup is a handicap race, so each horse is appropriately weighted according to it's past racing perfomances. The theory behind this is that if all horses ran to their full ability they would all finish at around the same time. This of course does not always happen and trainers will deliberately race their horses in different racing conditions to ensure that they get the best handicap or mark possible.
In the last ten years only one top weight has won and that was the legendary Makybe Diva on her way to her third consecutive Melbourne Cup win. It's important to note that the Melbourne Cup European Raiders have struggled to carry the weight around in the past.
Melbourne Cup Winners Age
As far as Melbourne Cup trends go the horses age cannot be ignored. Over the years four and five year olds make up the majority of winners, and in the last ten years six of the winners have been aged five. The key here is to not back horses too in-experienced or too old. If you look back at previous Melbourne Cup Runners you'll find that those horses with a little more experience to handle the big field and humdrum of over 100,000 screaming Aussies tend to do better.
There have only ever been two eight year old runners to win the Melbourne Cup and not since 1938 when Catolugue took the spoils.
Melbourne Cup Winners Draw
The draw for the Melbourne Cup is made on Victoria Derby day, three days before the race itself and as far as trends go, it doesn't appear to be as big a factor as it is in many races in Europe. The most successful Melbourne Cup draw is stall (or barrier) eleven with seven wins, whilst draw fourteen has had six winners.
It's widely regarded that the extremes are not good when it comes to the Melbourne Cup draw and trainers would prefer their horses to be drawn around the middle opposed to the low or high numbers.
Melbourne Cup Winners Sex
Whereas the draw doesn't give too much away in the way of trends, the sex of the horse most certainly does. There have only ever been sixteen female winners of the race, three of which were fillies. Geldings and Entires make up the majority of the Melbourne Cup winners list but there is always an exception to the rule. That exception to the rule was Makybe Diva. She the most successful horse in Melbourne Cup history winning three Melbourne Cups in succession from 2003.
Melbourne Cup Winners Price
There's nothing particularly scientific about looking at the horses price when trying to pick a Melbourne Cup winner. In theory, the shorter the price the more chance it has to win, but in terms of race trends, some are better for favourites to win than others.
Looking at past Melbourne Cup winners the race has been pretty kind to the more fancied horses over the years, with the general premise that you're better off backing a horse at odds of 20/1 or shorter.
As always, there are contraries to the rules, with the 2009 winner Viewed coming home at 40/1 to the joy of bookmakers. The longest price winner of the Melbourne Cup was 100/1 and the shortest was 8/11. In the last ten years there have been only three winning favourites as Makybe Diva won in 2004 and 2005 prior to Fiorente taking victory in 2013.
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